Historical asylum grant share
FY2025 · 2024-10-01–2025-09-30
24.91%
Recorded grant share = grants ÷ (grants + denials): 210 ÷ (210 + 633) = 24.91%.
95% statistical interval: 22.11%–27.94%
United States overall: 23.13% · +1.79 percentage points compared with this parent cohort.
Among immigration courts
Among recorded asylum application grant-or-denial outcomes linked within the same immigration-court proceeding; abandoned, withdrawn, administratively closed and other outcomes are excluded. One case may contribute more than one proceeding.
This interval describes binomial sampling variability only; it does not account for administrative errors, case mix, attribution uncertainty, or selection bias.
Use historical results to understand past cases, not to forecast an individual outcome.
Full definition and counting rulesWhat else is recorded besides a grant or denial?See related court, judge and nationality records
Source files and checks
Removal, deportation, exclusion and asylum-only proceedings. ASYL grant codes G/I/P; denial D. Other outcomes are excluded from this denominator. Conflicting applications and inconsistent case links are excluded.
Judge attribution uses the proceeding’s IJ_CODE assignment. It does not establish who personally authored every decision. Court attribution uses the proceeding’s recorded court, which may differ from historical hearing venue.
This interval describes binomial sampling variability only; it does not account for administrative errors, case mix, attribution uncertainty, or selection bias.
The source has known malformed lines: 357 physical lines were rejected; accepted logical rows are 262 below EOIR’s count file. Statistics describe accepted records. The official asylum report uses a different unit and will not exactly match these totals.
- Source
- EOIR public CASE data · 2026-08
- Metric version
- Metric M1.1.0
- Retrieved
- 2026-09-14
- Source SHA-256
- 0a409ce1b175532df7bb2f0c58d06dd20fa6b4d904d749fde7df1b038ac498e2
How did the historical grant share change?
Use arrow keys to explore values; Home and End jump to the first and last.
- Latest year
- 24.91%FY2025 · 843 records
- Highest year
- 45.89%FY2022 · 401 records
- Lowest year
- 24.91%FY2025 · 843 records
- Published years
- 5FY2021–FY2025
- Buffalo
- United States overall
How much did the published annual shares vary?
FY2021, FY2022, FY2023, FY2024, FY2025 · each year N ≥ 100
Standard deviation: 8.16 percentage points. Median absolute deviation: 6.99 percentage points. Largest change between adjacent published years: 18.32 percentage points.
These summarize the displayed annual rates; they do not measure judge quality or explain why outcomes changed. Annual variation method
EOIR public CASE data · 2026-08Population history · eoir-2026-08-population-history-v1Provenance
Why published asylum statistics can differ
Published asylum statistics can use different record units, outcome fields and reporting periods. This site counts eligible grant-or-denial outcomes linked within the same proceeding; a case can contribute more than one proceeding.
Full annual history
This series counts eligible proceedings directly from the normalized source, including records without a resolved public judge identity. Stored completion dates do not prove decision authorship or judge appointment dates.
Historical record court · BUF
Grant and denial results by fiscal year
Every fiscal year in the source, newest first. FY2021–FY2025 are the complete years used for comparisons; the change column compares complete years with at least 100 results each.
| Fiscal year | Granted | Denied | Grant or denial results (N) | Grant share (G / N) | All eligible records | Change from prior FY (percentage points) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 · Partial year | 29 | 661 | 690 | 4.20% | 2,689 | — |
| FY2025 | 210 | 633 | 843 | 24.91% | 2,857 | −6.99 |
| FY2024 | 230 | 491 | 721 | 31.90% | 2,283 | −10.14 |
| FY2023 | 161 | 222 | 383 | 42.04% | 1,078 | −3.85 |
| FY2022 | 184 | 217 | 401 | 45.89% | 955 | +18.32 |
| FY2021 | 86 | 226 | 312 | 27.56% | 562 | +2.44 |
| FY2020 | 98 | 292 | 390 | 25.13% | 653 | +3.65 |
| FY2019 | 87 | 318 | 405 | 21.48% | 754 | −0.74 |
| FY2018 | 58 | 203 | 261 | 22.22% | 576 | −12.26 |
| FY2017 | 60 | 114 | 174 | 34.48% | 409 | +14.48 |
| FY2016 | 20 | 80 | 100 | 20.00% | 306 | — |
| FY2015 | 11 | 77 | 88 | 12.50% | 238 | — |
| FY2014 | 30 | 75 | 105 | 28.57% | 192 | +7.78 |
| FY2013 | 21 | 80 | 101 | 20.79% | 182 | — |
| FY2012 | 11 | 83 | 94 | 11.70% | 194 | — |
| FY2011 | 8 | 87 | 95 | 8.42% | 219 | — |
| FY2010 | 20 | 84 | 104 | 19.23% | 222 | −5.12 |
| FY2009 | 28 | 87 | 115 | 24.35% | 236 | −3.37 |
| FY2008 | 28 | 73 | 101 | 27.72% | 190 | — |
| FY2007 | 10 | 67 | 77 | 12.99% | 120 | — |
| FY2006 | 19 | 82 | 101 | 18.81% | 198 | +4.42 |
| FY2005 | 20 | 119 | 139 | 14.39% | 224 | +4.46 |
| FY2004 | 14 | 127 | 141 | 9.93% | 251 | −3.24 |
| FY2003 | 27 | 178 | 205 | 13.17% | 332 | +7.51 |
| FY2002 | 6 | 100 | 106 | 5.66% | 199 | −13.35 |
| FY2001 | 23 | 98 | 121 | 19.01% | 172 | −3.13 |
| FY2000 | 31 | 109 | 140 | 22.14% | 218 | −2.62 |
| FY1999 | 26 | 79 | 105 | 24.76% | 178 | — |
| FY1998 | 24 | 52 | 76 | 31.58% | 160 | — |
| FY1997 | 36 | 52 | 88 | 40.91% | 188 | — |
| FY1996 | 27 | 33 | 60 | 45.00% | 164 | — |
| FY1995 | 20 | 36 | 56 | 35.71% | 75 | — |
| FY1994 | 11 | 34 | 45 | 24.44% | 58 | — |
| FY1993 | 3 | 25 | 28 | 10.71% | 42 | — |
| FY1992 | 13 | 21 | 34 | 38.24% | 55 | — |
| FY1991 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22.22% | 35 | — |
| FY1990 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 16.67% | 31 | — |
| FY1989 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 0.00% | 33 | — |
| FY1988 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 23.53% | 24 | — |
| FY1987 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.00% | 4 | — |
| FY1986 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 0.00% | 10 | — |
| FY1985 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16.67% | 7 | — |
| FY1984 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.00% | 3 | — |
| FY1983 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.00% | 3 | — |
Other saved application results
These categories are part of all eligible records above; they are outside grant plus denial (N).
| Fiscal year | Recorded as abandoned | Recorded as withdrawn | Recorded as not adjudicated | Recorded as administratively closed | Other recorded categories | No application result recorded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 · Partial year | 632 | 262 | 628 | 3 | 0 | 474 |
| FY2025 | 397 | 207 | 306 | 21 | 0 | 1,083 |
| FY2024 | 170 | 84 | 372 | 17 | 0 | 919 |
| FY2023 | 67 | 53 | 230 | 19 | 0 | 326 |
| FY2022 | 69 | 71 | 257 | 34 | 0 | 123 |
| FY2021 | 42 | 70 | 89 | 9 | 0 | 40 |
| FY2020 | 42 | 64 | 99 | 7 | 0 | 51 |
| FY2019 | 73 | 72 | 51 | 1 | 136 | 16 |
| FY2018 | 24 | 54 | 12 | 3 | 222 | 0 |
| FY2017 | 11 | 23 | 0 | 37 | 164 | 0 |
| FY2016 | 9 | 19 | 1 | 16 | 161 | 0 |
| FY2015 | 11 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 123 | 0 |
| FY2014 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 0 |
| FY2013 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 0 |
| FY2012 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 72 | 0 |
| FY2011 | 8 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 81 | 8 |
| FY2010 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 88 | 5 |
| FY2009 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 92 | 3 |
| FY2008 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 64 | 8 |
| FY2007 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 3 |
| FY2006 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 2 |
| FY2005 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 2 |
| FY2004 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 0 |
| FY2003 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 3 |
| FY2002 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 1 |
| FY2001 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 1 |
| FY2000 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 4 |
| FY1999 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 7 |
| FY1998 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 70 | 0 |
| FY1997 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 86 | 1 |
| FY1996 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 102 | 2 |
| FY1995 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 |
| FY1994 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| FY1993 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 |
| FY1992 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 |
| FY1991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 |
| FY1990 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 |
| FY1989 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
| FY1988 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| FY1987 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| FY1986 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| FY1985 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| FY1984 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| FY1983 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Judge identity coverage
| Fiscal year | Records linked to public judge identities | Unresolved judge records |
|---|---|---|
| FY2026 · Partial year | 2,688 | 1 |
| FY2025 | 2,856 | 1 |
| FY2024 | 2,283 | 0 |
| FY2023 | 1,078 | 0 |
| FY2022 | 955 | 0 |
| FY2021 | 562 | 0 |
| FY2020 | 652 | 1 |
| FY2019 | 752 | 2 |
| FY2018 | 572 | 4 |
| FY2017 | 402 | 7 |
| FY2016 | 303 | 3 |
| FY2015 | 237 | 1 |
| FY2014 | 190 | 2 |
| FY2013 | 176 | 6 |
| FY2012 | 192 | 2 |
| FY2011 | 210 | 9 |
| FY2010 | 217 | 5 |
| FY2009 | 228 | 8 |
| FY2008 | 190 | 0 |
| FY2007 | 120 | 0 |
| FY2006 | 198 | 0 |
| FY2005 | 224 | 0 |
| FY2004 | 251 | 0 |
| FY2003 | 332 | 0 |
| FY2002 | 199 | 0 |
| FY2001 | 172 | 0 |
| FY2000 | 217 | 1 |
| FY1999 | 178 | 0 |
| FY1998 | 160 | 0 |
| FY1997 | 188 | 0 |
| FY1996 | 164 | 0 |
| FY1995 | 75 | 0 |
| FY1994 | 58 | 0 |
| FY1993 | 42 | 0 |
| FY1992 | 55 | 0 |
| FY1991 | 35 | 0 |
| FY1990 | 31 | 0 |
| FY1989 | 33 | 0 |
| FY1988 | 24 | 0 |
| FY1987 | 4 | 0 |
| FY1986 | 10 | 0 |
| FY1985 | 7 | 0 |
| FY1984 | 3 | 0 |
| FY1983 | 2 | 1 |
Public FY2021–FY2025 grant and denial counts reconcile with the existing M1 tables. Missing years have no eligible dated rows, not verified zero activity.
Source cutoff: 2026-08-31 · eoir-2026-08-population-history-v1 · Original EOIR data export · Sources and data version
Historical completed-proceeding duration
FY2025 · proceeding input to completion · EOIR 2026-08
N = 843 valid records · 0 records excluded for missing or invalid dates.
This is the historical INPUT_DATE-to-COMP_DATE interval for eligible proceeding records, not the total elapsed time of an entire immigration case or a prediction for an unfinished case.
Saved future hearing schedules
6,960 master and individual schedule records passed the future-observation checks in the EOIR snapshot dated 2026-08-31. They are stored under the court code for Buffalo Immigration Court.
Middle saved schedule month: 2027-02. Half of these saved future observations fall in that month or earlier.
| Distance from snapshot | Records | Share |
|---|---|---|
| 1–3 months | 2,485 | 35.7% |
| 4–6 months | 1,268 | 18.2% |
| 7–12 months | 1,231 | 17.7% |
| 13 or more months | 1,976 | 28.4% |
A saved future schedule is not a verified hearing and can change. This is the distance from the snapshot date to a scheduled month, not how long a case has waited or how long remains for a person. The records have no published judge-level breakdown.
Explore this court’s saved hearing schedules · Schedule lead methodSource: EOIR saved hearing schedules, 2026-08-31 snapshotSources and snapshot dates
Lawyer-record comparison
Buffalo · All nationalities
FY2025
Lawyer / representative record found
30.40%
G 204 / D 467 / N 671
No qualifying lawyer / representative record found
3.49%
G 6 / D 166 / N 172
26.9 percentage points between the two groups · FY2025
A filing was found in the data. It does not confirm help at the decision. No matching filing does not prove there was no legal help. These numbers do not show what caused the difference.
Proceedings entered in earlier years
Proceedings grouped by the court stored in the 2026-08 snapshot. This does not reconstruct the original court at entry after transfers.
Completion recorded by 2026-08-31
Use arrow keys to explore values; Home and End jump to the first and last.
- Latest year
- 69.21%FY2025 · 7,386 records
- Highest year
- 98.02%FY2021 · 2,172 records
- Lowest year
- 69.21%FY2025 · 7,386 records
- Published years
- 5FY2021–FY2025
| FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recorded share | 98.02% | 96.37% | 90.33% | 78.23% | 69.21% |
| 2,172 records | 6,065 records | 9,375 records | 13,738 records | 7,386 records |
| Court | Entered FY | N | Completion recorded | No completion entry or unresolved | Completed duration Q25 / median / Q75 / P90 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | 2021 | 2,172 | 2,129 · 98.02% | 43 | 34 / 96 / 260 / 510 |
| Buffalo | 2022 | 6,065 | 5,845 · 96.37% | 220 | 56 / 162 / 386 / 695 |
| Buffalo | 2023 | 9,375 | 8,468 · 90.33% | 907 | 72 / 205 / 432 / 708 |
| Buffalo | 2024 | 13,738 | 10,747 · 78.23% | 2,991 | 56 / 231 / 438 / 679 |
| Buffalo | 2025 | 7,386 | 5,112 · 69.21% | 2,274 | 17 / 65 / 275 / 437 |
Completion can be a transfer or an administrative event. Missing and inconsistent completion states are combined as a descriptive category; this is not a verified pending count. Newer cohorts have shorter observation time.
Judge listings and historical records
The checked official listing and the historical records stored under this court are separate facts, shown side by side. A listing does not move old records, and old records do not show a current assignment.
Directory checked: EOIR hearing directory
This directory check is over 30 days old. Open the official source for the latest listing.
Filter by judge or nationality
Distribution across published judges · FY2025
4 judge-at-court cohorts with N ≥ 100. Median historical grant share: 33.26%; middle half: 23.11%–38.13%.
Unweighted mean: 27.99%; range: 6.40%–39.02%; standard deviation: 13.09 percentage points.
Each judge code counts equally here; the court overall statistic pools eligible outcome records. Judge-code groups with fewer than 100 grant or denial records at this court in FY2025 are not included. Court distribution method
Judge groups use the code saved on each EOIR proceeding. It identifies the assigned judge, not a verified author of every outcome. How judge figures work
| Judge | Official directory listing | Historical records at this court | Published outcome statistics |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Rubin | IJ | FY2026 | Available on profile |
| Brandi Lohr | IJ | FY1996, FY2013, FY2015, FY2018, FY2021, FY2023–FY2026 | Available on profile |
| Brian Counihan | IJ | FY2006, FY2023–FY2026 | Available on profile |
| Christopher Staszak | IJ | FY2026 | Available on profile |
| Eric Schultz | IJ | FY2001, FY2017, FY2023–FY2026 | Available on profile |
| Mary C. Baumgarten | IJ | FY2005, FY2012, FY2015, FY2017–FY2026 | Available on profile |
| Ubaid ul-Haq | ACIJ | FY2025–FY2026 | Available on profile |
Other judges with records at this court (163)
Not on the checked official listing. Each name opens the judge’s historical rows for this court; years describe the saved record coverage.
- Abby L. Meyer · FY2024
- Adrien Lee-Lo · FY2018
- Alec J. Niziolek · FY2012
- Alice Segal · FY2024
- Alisha C. Campos · FY2024
- Amanda Jeannopoulos · FY2025
- Angela Munson · FY2024
- Anna C. Little · FY2025 · statistics available on profile
- Anthony J. Randall · FY1998
- Arwen A. Swink · FY2023
A dash under published statistics means no grant or denial is saved for that judge at this court; other saved results can still be listed. The name opens the judge profile and its full historical context.
Recorded BIA appeals associated with this court
These are recorded BIA appeal events linked to proceedings stored under this EOIR court code. They do not measure court quality or predict an individual appeal.
Decision FY2021–FY2025 pooled · IJ Case Appeals · source cutoff 2026-08-31
BIA patterns can change over time. These figures describe recorded dispositions during the displayed historical period, not a permanent characteristic of a person, court or nationality. Changes may coincide with law, policy, administration, BIA composition, case mix or backlog; these data alone do not establish why.
| Filed by | Appeal events (denominator) | DIS · recorded dismissal/affirmance | REM · remand as recorded | SUS · appeal sustained as recorded | Other · mixed recorded dispositions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Respondent-filed (A) | 1,023 | 535 · 52.3% | 217 · 21.2% | 0 · 0.0% | 271 · 26.5% |
| DHS-filed (I) | 40 | 7 · 17.5% | 17 · 42.5% | 6 · 15.0% | 10 · 25.0% |
Small sample: N is below 100. Counts remain visible; a few events can change the pattern substantially.
Each row uses its own filing-party denominator. “Other” combines different recorded categories; REM is not an asylum grant, and SUS depends on who filed.
About these records
All recorded filing parties · National parent appeal events: 119,252 · Linked to a stored court code: 119,223 · Not court-attributed: 29.
Court field: B_TblProceeding.BASE_CITY_CODE · Period: decision FY2021–FY2025 · Snapshot: 2026-08 EOIR Case Data · Source cutoff: 2026-08-31.
The stored court code does not establish which court issued the original decision. Chronology conflicts and unresolved links remain in the national residual; they are not assigned to a court.
Download certified court BIA aggregates · Companion manifest · Read disclosure certificate · Historical court BIA edition · Methods
Court location and official page
130 Delaware Avenue Suite 300 Buffalo NY 14202
Official address matched; checked 2026-09-14 · Operating status: Open
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Choose a court on the map or in the list to see its historical grant share, ZIP assignment reference area and latest checked official judge listing.
ZIP reference area
Shaded areas use existing Census ZCTA boundaries linked to EOIR ZIP assignments. They are geographic references, not fixed court jurisdiction. Areas may overlap; ZIPs without a matching boundary are not drawn.
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Directory entries without a verified map location
EXPLORE THIS COURT
Continue from these outcomes
Each link opens a separate public record set. Its population and period may differ from the grant and denial figures above.
New in this package: additional asylum result categories have published counts for this court. Review source and release details