Cuba: asylum outcomes in immigration court

Historical asylum grant share

Time period

FY2025 · 2024-10-01–2025-09-30

25.48%

990Grant records

2,895Denial records

3,885Outcome records

Recorded grant share = grants ÷ (grants + denials): 990 ÷ (990 + 2,895) = 25.48%.

95% statistical interval: 24.14%–26.88%

United States overall: 23.13% · +2.36 percentage points compared with this parent cohort.

Cuba: 25.48%N 3,885; No grant or denial record for this group in this period.
United States overall: 23.13%N 124,581; No national figure is published for this period

Across immigration courts for this nationality

9 immigration courts have 100 or more grant-or-denial records for this nationality in FY2025. Their recorded grant shares range from 2.98% to 89.10%; the median is 14.20%. The larger dot is this nationality across all courts.

See this nationality at each court

Among recorded asylum application grant-or-denial outcomes linked within the same immigration-court proceeding; abandoned, withdrawn, administratively closed and other outcomes are excluded. One case may contribute more than one proceeding.

This interval describes binomial sampling variability only; it does not account for administrative errors, case mix, attribution uncertainty, or selection bias.

Use historical results to understand past cases, not to forecast an individual outcome.

Full definition and counting rules What else is recorded besides a grant or denial?See related court, judge and nationality records

Source files and checks

Removal, deportation, exclusion and asylum-only proceedings. ASYL grant codes G/I/P; denial D. Other outcomes are excluded from this denominator. Conflicting applications and inconsistent case links are excluded.

Judge attribution uses the proceeding’s IJ_CODE assignment. It does not establish who personally authored every decision. Court attribution uses the proceeding’s recorded court, which may differ from historical hearing venue.

This interval describes binomial sampling variability only; it does not account for administrative errors, case mix, attribution uncertainty, or selection bias.

The source has known malformed lines: 357 physical lines were rejected; accepted logical rows are 262 below EOIR’s count file. Statistics describe accepted records. The official asylum report uses a different unit and will not exactly match these totals.

Source: EOIR public CASE data · 2026-08
Metric version: Metric M1.1.0
Retrieved: 2026-09-14
Source SHA-256: 0a409ce1b175532df7bb2f0c58d06dd20fa6b4d904d749fde7df1b038ac498e2

Release manifest · Full methodology

How did the historical grant share change?

Latest year: 25.48%FY2025 · 3,885 records
Highest year: 54.90%FY2023 · 1,102 records
Lowest year: 25.48%FY2025 · 3,885 records
Published years: 5FY2021–FY2025

Cuba
United States overall

Annual historical trend

Fiscal years run from 10-01 through 09-30. Every eligible public-source group is shown; a year without a record is not withheld. Small samples can vary sharply.

These totals come from the pinned public EOIR CASE source under the same grant and denial population as the national total.

Grant share · EOIR public CASE data · 2026-08
Fiscal year (10-01–09-30)	Grant records	Denial records	N	Share	Change from prior FY (percentage points)
FY2021	389	351	740	52.57%	—
FY2022	225	229	454	49.56%	−3.01
FY2023	605	497	1,102	54.90%	+5.34
FY2024	1,149	1,222	2,371	48.46%	−6.44
FY2025	990	2,895	3,885	25.48%	−22.98

Methodology

How much did the published annual shares vary?

FY2021, FY2022, FY2023, FY2024, FY2025 · each year N ≥ 100

Standard deviation: 10.60 percentage points. Median absolute deviation: 3.01 percentage points. Largest change between adjacent published years: 22.98 percentage points.

These summarize the displayed annual rates; they do not measure judge quality or explain why outcomes changed. Annual variation method

EOIR public CASE data · 2026-08EOIR CASE nationality aggregates · eoir-2026-08-nationality-complete-v1Provenance

Nationality is an administrative source category, not a measure of identity or residence. Source category: CU.

Published court and judge cohorts

All court and judge combinations with eligible records are shown. Small counts describe a few proceeding records and their rates can change sharply.

Fiscal year or period for these groups

Court

Group

Judge

This period also updates the summary above. The table caption shows the selected period.

Cuba · FY2025
Group	Grants	Denials	N	Recorded grant share	95% interval
Adelanto · ADL	0	5	5	0.00%	0.00%–43.45%
Annandale	1	9	10	10.00%	1.79%–40.42%
Annandale	1	1	2	50.00%	9.45%–90.55%
Atlanta - W. Peachtree Street	3	25	28	10.71%	3.71%–27.20%
Atlanta – Ted Turner Drive	0	5	5	0.00%	0.00%–43.45%
Aurora	1	6	7	14.29%	2.57%–51.31%
Baltimore	4	2	6	66.67%	30.00%–90.32%
Boston · BOS	No grant or denial record in FY2025
Buffalo	21	27	48	43.75%	30.70%–57.72%
Charlotte	7	29	36	19.44%	9.75%–35.03%
Chelmsford	1	0	1	100.00%	20.65%–100.00%
Chelmsford	1	0	1	100.00%	20.65%–100.00%
Chicago	11	11	22	50.00%	30.72%–69.28%
Cleveland	0	7	7	0.00%	<0.01%–35.43%
Concord	3	0	3	100.00%	43.85%–100.00%
Conroe	2	39	41	4.88%	1.35%–16.14%
Dallas	14	59	73	19.18%	11.78%–29.66%
Denver	2	5	7	28.57%	8.22%–64.11%
Detroit	56	19	75	74.67%	63.79%–83.14%
El Paso	20	127	147	13.61%	8.98%–20.08%
El Paso SPC	2	12	14	14.29%	4.01%–39.94%
Elizabeth	1	4	5	20.00%	3.62%–62.45%
Eloy	7	31	38	18.42%	9.22%–33.42%
Florence	2	15	17	11.76%	3.29%–34.34%
Fort Snelling	2	7	9	22.22%	6.32%–54.74%
Guaynabo · SAJ	0	5	5	0.00%	0.00%–43.45%
Harlingen	4	22	26	15.38%	6.15%–33.53%
Hartford	4	0	4	100.00%	51.01%–100.00%
Honolulu	No grant or denial record in FY2025
Houston - Jefferson Street Immigration Court	60	230	290	20.69%	16.43%–25.72%
Houston – Greenspoint Park	31	349	380	8.16%	5.81%–11.35%
Houston – S. Gessner Road	10	326	336	2.98%	1.62%–5.39%
Hyattsville	3	0	3	100.00%	43.85%–100.00%
Imperial	4	10	14	28.57%	11.72%–54.65%
Indianapolis, Indiana · INP	1	6	7	14.29%	2.57%–51.31%
Kansas City	8	15	23	34.78%	18.81%–55.11%
Laredo	2	19	21	9.52%	2.65%–28.91%
Las Vegas	368	45	413	89.10%	85.73%–91.76%
LaSalle	6	28	34	17.65%	8.35%–33.51%
Los Angeles - Van Nuys Boulevard	1	1	2	50.00%	9.45%–90.55%
Los Angeles – N. Los Angeles Street	0	4	4	0.00%	0.00%–48.99%
Los Fresnos · PEP	4	32	36	11.11%	4.41%–25.31%
Los Fresnos · PIS	0	3	3	0.00%	<0.01%–56.15%
Memphis · MEM	30	147	177	16.95%	12.14%–23.16%
Miami · KRO	1	67	68	1.47%	0.26%–7.87%
Miami · MIA	69	417	486	14.20%	11.37%–17.58%
New Orleans · NOL	15	6	21	71.43%	50.04%–86.19%
New York - Broadway	0	1	1	0.00%	0.00%–79.35%
New York - Federal Plaza	0	2	2	0.00%	0.00%–65.76%
New York - Varick	3	0	3	100.00%	43.85%–100.00%
Newark	4	5	9	44.44%	18.88%–73.33%
Oakdale	2	24	26	7.69%	2.14%–24.14%
Omaha	0	13	13	0.00%	0.00%–22.81%
Orlando	81	220	301	26.91%	22.21%–32.19%
Otay Mesa	5	2	7	71.43%	35.89%–91.78%
Otero	7	23	30	23.33%	11.79%–40.93%
Pearsall	0	56	56	0.00%	<0.01%–6.42%
Philadelphia	5	7	12	41.67%	19.33%–68.05%
Phoenix	17	35	52	32.69%	21.52%–46.24%
Portland	No grant or denial record in FY2025
Portland	2	6	8	25.00%	7.15%–59.07%
Sacramento · SMO	1	0	1	100.00%	20.65%–100.00%
Salt Lake City	4	5	9	44.44%	18.88%–73.33%
San Antonio	43	264	307	14.01%	10.57%–18.34%
San Diego	0	1	1	0.00%	0.00%–79.35%
San Francisco · SFR	2	0	2	100.00%	34.24%–100.00%
Santa Ana	4	12	16	25.00%	10.18%–49.50%
Seattle	13	12	25	52.00%	33.50%–69.97%
Sterling · STE	5	9	14	35.71%	16.34%–61.24%
Stewart	0	11	11	0.00%	0.00%–25.88%
Tacoma	1	9	10	10.00%	1.79%–40.42%
Tucson	5	1	6	83.33%	43.65%–96.99%
West Los Angeles Immigration Court · WLA	3	0	3	100.00%	43.85%–100.00%

Court and judge groups: counting rules

Grants ÷ (grants + denials) among eligible asylum proceeding records. One proceeding event is the unit; this is not a count of unique people.

Source files and checks

This interval describes binomial sampling variability only; it does not account for administrative errors, case mix, attribution uncertainty, or selection bias.

Source: EOIR public CASE data · 2026-08
Metric version: Metric M1.1.0
Retrieved: 2026-09-14
Source SHA-256: 0a409ce1b175532df7bb2f0c58d06dd20fa6b4d904d749fde7df1b038ac498e2

Release manifest · Full methodology

Official country research sources

For Cuba, open the EOIR country research entry and the Department of State human rights report index. Select the country and report year in the official source. The EOIR entry currently points to that report index; it does not supply a verified country-by-year document set for this page.

Country reports are research materials, not a finding about an individual case. Search official AG/BIA precedent citations

Recorded asylum application results for this nationality

Cuba · EOIR source nationality category CU. These are saved application result codes grouped by the proceeding completion year, including outcomes beyond grants and denials.

One eligible proceeding record per row · 2026-08 CASE snapshot
Recorded category	FY2021	FY2022	FY2023	FY2024	FY2025
Granted	389	225	605	1,149	990
Denied	351	229	497	1,222	2,895
Recorded as abandoned	100	96	415	644	1,054
Recorded as withdrawn	442	334	1,087	1,409	1,110
Recorded as not adjudicated	3,133	2,064	10,079	12,646	8,466
Recorded as administratively closed	40	109	452	712	779
Other recorded categories	0	0	2	0	0
No application result recorded	265	433	1,690	3,461	5,043
Total records in this table	4,720	3,490	14,827	21,243	20,337

The grant share elsewhere uses only grants and denials. This table includes eight saved result categories, so its total is larger. A blank result is shown separately and is not a denial or a verified pending case. Small groups can vary sharply.

National result categories and counting rules

Lawyer-record comparison

Time period

Cuba · Across the United States

FY2025

Lawyer / representative record found

31.09%

G 869 / D 1,926 / N 2,795

No qualifying lawyer / representative record found

11.10%

G 121 / D 969 / N 1,090

20.0 percentage points between the two groups · FY2025

A filing was found in the data. It does not confirm help at the decision. No matching filing does not prove there was no legal help. These numbers do not show what caused the difference.

Explore the full lawyer-record comparison

Recorded BIA appeal dispositions associated with this nationality code

One recorded IJ Case Appeal event is counted, not one person. Nationality is the code stored directly on the appeal record; the linked proceeding and case nationality never replace it.

Decision FY2021–FY2025 pooled · all filing parties · source cutoff 2026-08-31

BIA patterns can change over time. These figures describe recorded dispositions during the displayed historical period, not a permanent characteristic of a person, court or nationality. Changes may coincide with law, policy, administration, BIA composition, case mix or backlog; these data alone do not establish why.

All filing parties pooled · recorded BIA appeal events
Appeal events (denominator)	DIS · recorded dismissal/affirmance	REM · remand as recorded	SUS · appeal sustained as recorded	Other · mixed recorded dispositions
1,650	410	785	3	452

Filing parties A, I, B and O remain distinct in the private audit. This pooled table shows counts only; it does not calculate a combined outcome percentage. REM is not an asylum grant, and these are not final asylum outcomes.

About these records

Nationality field: tblAppeal.strNat · Population: bia-decided-1 · Source cutoff: 2026-08-31.

Appeal and proceeding nationality can disagree. The appeal field is the recorded event attribute; this table does not decide which record is personally correct or establish citizenship.

Download certified nationality BIA aggregates · Companion manifest · Read disclosure certificate · Historical nationality BIA edition · Methods

Cuba — Asylum records by EOIR nationality category

Historical asylum grant share

How did the historical grant share change?

Annual historical trend

How much did the published annual shares vary?

Published court and judge cohorts

Court and judge groups: counting rules

Official country research sources

Recorded asylum application results for this nationality

Lawyer-record comparison

Lawyer / representative record found

No qualifying lawyer / representative record found

Recorded BIA appeal dispositions associated with this nationality code

About these records

Data and sources

EOIR public CASE data

🇨🇺 Cuba — Asylum records by EOIR nationality category

Historical asylum grant share

How did the historical grant share change?

Annual historical trend

How much did the published annual shares vary?

Published court and judge cohorts

Court and judge groups: counting rules

Official country research sources

Recorded asylum application results for this nationality

Lawyer-record comparison

Lawyer / representative record found

No qualifying lawyer / representative record found

Recorded BIA appeal dispositions associated with this nationality code

About these records

Next steps

Data and sources

Cuba — Asylum records by EOIR nationality category