Historical asylum grant share
FY2025 · 2024-10-01–2025-09-30
56.59%
Recorded grant share = grants ÷ (grants + denials): 189 ÷ (189 + 145) = 56.59%.
95% statistical interval: 51.23%–61.80%
United States overall: 23.13% · +33.46 percentage points compared with this parent cohort.
Across immigration courts for this nationality
Fewer than 5 courts have 100 or more grant-or-denial records for this nationality in FY2025, so no distribution across courts is drawn.
Among recorded asylum application grant-or-denial outcomes linked within the same immigration-court proceeding; abandoned, withdrawn, administratively closed and other outcomes are excluded. One case may contribute more than one proceeding.
This interval describes binomial sampling variability only; it does not account for administrative errors, case mix, attribution uncertainty, or selection bias.
Use historical results to understand past cases, not to forecast an individual outcome.
Full definition and counting rulesWhat else is recorded besides a grant or denial?See related court, judge and nationality records
Source files and checks
Removal, deportation, exclusion and asylum-only proceedings. ASYL grant codes G/I/P; denial D. Other outcomes are excluded from this denominator. Conflicting applications and inconsistent case links are excluded.
Judge attribution uses the proceeding’s IJ_CODE assignment. It does not establish who personally authored every decision. Court attribution uses the proceeding’s recorded court, which may differ from historical hearing venue.
This interval describes binomial sampling variability only; it does not account for administrative errors, case mix, attribution uncertainty, or selection bias.
The source has known malformed lines: 357 physical lines were rejected; accepted logical rows are 262 below EOIR’s count file. Statistics describe accepted records. The official asylum report uses a different unit and will not exactly match these totals.
- Source
- EOIR public CASE data · 2026-08
- Metric version
- Metric M1.1.0
- Retrieved
- 2026-09-14
- Source SHA-256
- 0a409ce1b175532df7bb2f0c58d06dd20fa6b4d904d749fde7df1b038ac498e2
How did the historical grant share change?
Use arrow keys to explore values; Home and End jump to the first and last.
- Latest year
- 56.59%FY2025 · 334 records
- Highest year
- 87.85%FY2022 · 181 records
- Lowest year
- 56.59%FY2025 · 334 records
- Published years
- 5FY2021–FY2025
- Eritrea
- United States overall
Annual historical trend
Fiscal years run from 10-01 through 09-30. Every eligible public-source group is shown; a year without a record is not withheld. Small samples can vary sharply.
These totals come from the pinned public EOIR CASE source under the same grant and denial population as the national total.
| Fiscal year (10-01–09-30) | Grant records | Denial records | N | Share | Change from prior FY (percentage points) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | 128 | 29 | 157 | — | |
| FY2022 | 159 | 22 | 181 | +6.32 | |
| FY2023 | 241 | 61 | 302 | −8.04 | |
| FY2024 | 238 | 52 | 290 | +2.27 | |
| FY2025 | 189 | 145 | 334 | −25.48 |
How much did the published annual shares vary?
FY2021, FY2022, FY2023, FY2024, FY2025 · each year N ≥ 100
Standard deviation: 10.83 percentage points. Median absolute deviation: 1.73 percentage points. Largest change between adjacent published years: 25.48 percentage points.
These summarize the displayed annual rates; they do not measure judge quality or explain why outcomes changed. Annual variation method
EOIR public CASE data · 2026-08EOIR CASE nationality aggregates · eoir-2026-08-nationality-complete-v1Provenance
Nationality is an administrative source category, not a measure of identity or residence. Source category: ER.
Published court and judge cohorts
All court and judge combinations with eligible records are shown. Small counts describe a few proceeding records and their rates can change sharply.
This period also updates the summary above. The table caption shows the selected period.
| Group | Grants | Denials | N | Recorded grant share | 95% interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelanto · ADL | No grant or denial record in FY2025 | ||||
| Annandale | 4 | 10 | 14 | 28.57% | 11.72%–54.65% |
| Annandale | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00% | 0.00%–79.35% |
| Atlanta - W. Peachtree Street | No grant or denial record in FY2025 | ||||
| Atlanta – Ted Turner Drive | No grant or denial record in FY2025 | ||||
| Aurora | 2 | 1 | 3 | 66.67% | 20.77%–93.85% |
| Baltimore | 3 | 6 | 9 | 33.33% | 12.06%–64.58% |
| Boston · BOS | 2 | 0 | 2 | 100.00% | 34.24%–100.00% |
| Buffalo | 1 | 1 | 2 | 50.00% | 9.45%–90.55% |
| Charlotte | No grant or denial record in FY2025 | ||||
| Chicago | 3 | 3 | 6 | 50.00% | 18.76%–81.24% |
| Cleveland | 2 | 3 | 5 | 40.00% | 11.76%–76.93% |
| Concord | 4 | 1 | 5 | 80.00% | 37.55%–96.38% |
| Conroe | 1 | 6 | 7 | 14.29% | 2.57%–51.31% |
| Dallas | 7 | 5 | 12 | 58.33% | 31.95%–80.67% |
| Denver | 9 | 2 | 11 | 81.82% | 52.30%–94.86% |
| Detroit | No grant or denial record in FY2025 | ||||
| El Paso SPC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 100.00% | 20.65%–100.00% |
| Elizabeth | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00% | 0.00%–79.35% |
| Eloy | 1 | 1 | 2 | 50.00% | 9.45%–90.55% |
| Fort Snelling | 1 | 1 | 2 | 50.00% | 9.45%–90.55% |
| Guaynabo · SAJ | No grant or denial record in FY2025 | ||||
| Harlingen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 100.00% | 34.24%–100.00% |
| Hartford | 1 | 0 | 1 | 100.00% | 20.65%–100.00% |
| Houston - Jefferson Street Immigration Court | No grant or denial record in FY2025 | ||||
| Houston – S. Gessner Road | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00% | 0.00%–79.35% |
| Hyattsville | 17 | 15 | 32 | 53.13% | 36.45%–69.13% |
| Imperial | 1 | 3 | 4 | 25.00% | 4.56%–69.94% |
| Indianapolis, Indiana · INP | 1 | 2 | 3 | 33.33% | 6.15%–79.23% |
| Kansas City | 1 | 1 | 2 | 50.00% | 9.45%–90.55% |
| Laredo | 1 | 2 | 3 | 33.33% | 6.15%–79.23% |
| Las Vegas | 1 | 3 | 4 | 25.00% | 4.56%–69.94% |
| LaSalle | 1 | 12 | 13 | 7.69% | 1.37%–33.31% |
| Los Angeles – N. Los Angeles Street | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00% | 0.00%–79.35% |
| Los Fresnos · PEP | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.00% | 0.00%–65.76% |
| Los Fresnos · PIS | No grant or denial record in FY2025 | ||||
| Memphis · MEM | No grant or denial record in FY2025 | ||||
| Miami · KRO | No grant or denial record in FY2025 | ||||
| New Orleans · NOL | 2 | 0 | 2 | 100.00% | 34.24%–100.00% |
| New York - Broadway | 1 | 1 | 2 | 50.00% | 9.45%–90.55% |
| New York - Federal Plaza | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.00% | 0.00%–65.76% |
| New York - Varick | No grant or denial record in FY2025 | ||||
| Newark | 1 | 0 | 1 | 100.00% | 20.65%–100.00% |
| Oakdale | 0 | 12 | 12 | 0.00% | <0.01%–24.25% |
| Omaha | No grant or denial record in FY2025 | ||||
| Orlando | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00% | 0.00%–79.35% |
| Otay Mesa | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.00% | <0.01%–56.15% |
| Otero | No grant or denial record in FY2025 | ||||
| Pearsall | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00% | 0.00%–79.35% |
| Philadelphia | No grant or denial record in FY2025 | ||||
| Phoenix | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00% | 0.00%–79.35% |
| Portland | No grant or denial record in FY2025 | ||||
| Sacramento · SMO | 1 | 1 | 2 | 50.00% | 9.45%–90.55% |
| Salt Lake City | No grant or denial record in FY2025 | ||||
| San Antonio | 3 | 0 | 3 | 100.00% | 43.85%–100.00% |
| San Diego | 1 | 3 | 4 | 25.00% | 4.56%–69.94% |
| San Francisco · SFR | 94 | 20 | 114 | 82.46% | 74.45%–88.35% |
| Santa Ana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 100.00% | 20.65%–100.00% |
| Seattle | 15 | 10 | 25 | 60.00% | 40.74%–76.60% |
| Sterling · STE | 3 | 0 | 3 | 100.00% | 43.85%–100.00% |
| Stewart | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0.00% | 0.00%–43.45% |
| Tacoma | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00% | 0.00%–79.35% |
| Tucson | No grant or denial record in FY2025 | ||||
| West Los Angeles Immigration Court · WLA | No grant or denial record in FY2025 | ||||
Court and judge groups: counting rules
Grants ÷ (grants + denials) among eligible asylum proceeding records. One proceeding event is the unit; this is not a count of unique people.
Source files and checks
Removal, deportation, exclusion and asylum-only proceedings. ASYL grant codes G/I/P; denial D. Other outcomes are excluded from this denominator. Conflicting applications and inconsistent case links are excluded.
Judge attribution uses the proceeding’s IJ_CODE assignment. It does not establish who personally authored every decision. Court attribution uses the proceeding’s recorded court, which may differ from historical hearing venue.
This interval describes binomial sampling variability only; it does not account for administrative errors, case mix, attribution uncertainty, or selection bias.
The source has known malformed lines: 357 physical lines were rejected; accepted logical rows are 262 below EOIR’s count file. Statistics describe accepted records. The official asylum report uses a different unit and will not exactly match these totals.
- Source
- EOIR public CASE data · 2026-08
- Metric version
- Metric M1.1.0
- Retrieved
- 2026-09-14
- Source SHA-256
- 0a409ce1b175532df7bb2f0c58d06dd20fa6b4d904d749fde7df1b038ac498e2
Official country research sources
For Eritrea, open the EOIR country research entry and the Department of State human rights report index. Select the country and report year in the official source. The EOIR entry currently points to that report index; it does not supply a verified country-by-year document set for this page.
Country reports are research materials, not a finding about an individual case. Search official AG/BIA precedent citations
Recorded asylum application results for this nationality
Eritrea · EOIR source nationality category ER. These are saved application result codes grouped by the proceeding completion year, including outcomes beyond grants and denials.
| Recorded category | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granted | 128 | 159 | 241 | 238 | 189 |
| Denied | 29 | 22 | 61 | 52 | 145 |
| Recorded as abandoned | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 26 |
| Recorded as withdrawn | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| Recorded as not adjudicated | 15 | 37 | 27 | 37 | 36 |
| Recorded as administratively closed | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Other recorded categories | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| No application result recorded | 5 | 11 | 32 | 91 | 127 |
| Total records in this table | 185 | 234 | 373 | 439 | 537 |
The grant share elsewhere uses only grants and denials. This table includes eight saved result categories, so its total is larger. A blank result is shown separately and is not a denial or a verified pending case. Small groups can vary sharply.
Lawyer-record comparison
Eritrea · Across the United States
FY2025
Lawyer / representative record found
60.84%
G 188 / D 121 / N 309
No qualifying lawyer / representative record found
4.00%
G 1 / D 24 / N 25
56.8 percentage points between the two groups · FY2025
Small sample in at least one group; this descriptive historical gap can change sharply and does not establish a causal effect.
A filing was found in the data. It does not confirm help at the decision. No matching filing does not prove there was no legal help. These numbers do not show what caused the difference.
Recorded BIA appeal dispositions associated with this nationality code
One recorded IJ Case Appeal event is counted, not one person. Nationality is the code stored directly on the appeal record; the linked proceeding and case nationality never replace it.
Decision FY2021–FY2025 pooled · all filing parties · source cutoff 2026-08-31
BIA patterns can change over time. These figures describe recorded dispositions during the displayed historical period, not a permanent characteristic of a person, court or nationality. Changes may coincide with law, policy, administration, BIA composition, case mix or backlog; these data alone do not establish why.
| Appeal events (denominator) | DIS · recorded dismissal/affirmance | REM · remand as recorded | SUS · appeal sustained as recorded | Other · mixed recorded dispositions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 | 31 | 52 | 1 | 26 |
Filing parties A, I, B and O remain distinct in the private audit. This pooled table shows counts only; it does not calculate a combined outcome percentage. REM is not an asylum grant, and these are not final asylum outcomes.
About these records
Nationality field: tblAppeal.strNat · Population: bia-decided-1 · Source cutoff: 2026-08-31.
Appeal and proceeding nationality can disagree. The appeal field is the recorded event attribute; this table does not decide which record is personally correct or establish citizenship.
Download certified nationality BIA aggregates · Companion manifest · Read disclosure certificate · Historical nationality BIA edition · Methods