Mexico: asylum outcomes in immigration court

Historical asylum grant share

Time period

FY2025 · 2024-10-01–2025-09-30

7.05%

905Grant records

11,931Denial records

12,836Outcome records

Recorded grant share = grants ÷ (grants + denials): 905 ÷ (905 + 11,931) = 7.05%.

95% statistical interval: 6.62%–7.51%

United States overall: 23.13% · −16.08 percentage points compared with this parent cohort.

Mexico: 7.05%N 12,836; No grant or denial record for this group in this period.
United States overall: 23.13%N 124,581; No national figure is published for this period

Across immigration courts for this nationality

35 immigration courts have 100 or more grant-or-denial records for this nationality in FY2025. Their recorded grant shares range from 0.00% to 39.81%; the median is 3.81%. The larger dot is this nationality across all courts.

See this nationality at each court

Among recorded asylum application grant-or-denial outcomes linked within the same immigration-court proceeding; abandoned, withdrawn, administratively closed and other outcomes are excluded. One case may contribute more than one proceeding.

This interval describes binomial sampling variability only; it does not account for administrative errors, case mix, attribution uncertainty, or selection bias.

Use historical results to understand past cases, not to forecast an individual outcome.

Full definition and counting rules What else is recorded besides a grant or denial?See related court, judge and nationality records

Source files and checks

Removal, deportation, exclusion and asylum-only proceedings. ASYL grant codes G/I/P; denial D. Other outcomes are excluded from this denominator. Conflicting applications and inconsistent case links are excluded.

Judge attribution uses the proceeding’s IJ_CODE assignment. It does not establish who personally authored every decision. Court attribution uses the proceeding’s recorded court, which may differ from historical hearing venue.

This interval describes binomial sampling variability only; it does not account for administrative errors, case mix, attribution uncertainty, or selection bias.

The source has known malformed lines: 357 physical lines were rejected; accepted logical rows are 262 below EOIR’s count file. Statistics describe accepted records. The official asylum report uses a different unit and will not exactly match these totals.

Source: EOIR public CASE data · 2026-08
Metric version: Metric M1.1.0
Retrieved: 2026-09-14
Source SHA-256: 0a409ce1b175532df7bb2f0c58d06dd20fa6b4d904d749fde7df1b038ac498e2

Release manifest · Full methodology

How did the historical grant share change?

Latest year: 7.05%FY2025 · 12,836 records
Highest year: 23.83%FY2022 · 3,428 records
Lowest year: 7.05%FY2025 · 12,836 records
Published years: 5FY2021–FY2025

Mexico
United States overall

Annual historical trend

Fiscal years run from 10-01 through 09-30. Every eligible public-source group is shown; a year without a record is not withheld. Small samples can vary sharply.

These totals come from the pinned public EOIR CASE source under the same grant and denial population as the national total.

Grant share · EOIR public CASE data · 2026-08
Fiscal year (10-01–09-30)	Grant records	Denial records	N	Share	Change from prior FY (percentage points)
FY2021	418	2,594	3,012	13.88%	—
FY2022	817	2,611	3,428	23.83%	+9.96
FY2023	872	3,506	4,378	19.92%	−3.92
FY2024	860	4,615	5,475	15.71%	−4.21
FY2025	905	11,931	12,836	7.05%	−8.66

Methodology

How much did the published annual shares vary?

FY2021, FY2022, FY2023, FY2024, FY2025 · each year N ≥ 100

Standard deviation: 5.68 percentage points. Median absolute deviation: 4.21 percentage points. Largest change between adjacent published years: 9.96 percentage points.

These summarize the displayed annual rates; they do not measure judge quality or explain why outcomes changed. Annual variation method

EOIR public CASE data · 2026-08EOIR CASE nationality aggregates · eoir-2026-08-nationality-complete-v1Provenance

Nationality is an administrative source category, not a measure of identity or residence. Source category: MX.

Published court and judge cohorts

All court and judge combinations with eligible records are shown. Small counts describe a few proceeding records and their rates can change sharply.

Fiscal year or period for these groups

Court

Group

Judge

This period also updates the summary above. The table caption shows the selected period.

Mexico · FY2025
Group	Grants	Denials	N	Recorded grant share	95% interval
Adelanto · ADL	0	105	105	0.00%	0.00%–3.53%
Annandale	5	150	155	3.23%	1.39%–7.33%
Annandale	0	10	10	0.00%	0.00%–27.75%
Atlanta - W. Peachtree Street	8	594	602	1.33%	0.67%–2.60%
Atlanta – Ted Turner Drive	0	37	37	0.00%	0.00%–9.41%
Aurora	1	43	44	2.27%	0.40%–11.81%
Baltimore	11	36	47	23.40%	13.60%–37.22%
Boston · BOS	7	5	12	58.33%	31.95%–80.67%
Buffalo	2	22	24	8.33%	2.32%–25.85%
Charlotte	12	505	517	2.32%	1.33%–4.01%
Chelmsford	1	18	19	5.26%	0.94%–24.64%
Chelmsford	1	0	1	100.00%	20.65%–100.00%
Chicago	98	333	431	22.74%	19.03%–26.93%
Cleveland	5	66	71	7.04%	3.05%–15.45%
Concord	114	323	437	26.09%	22.19%–30.40%
Conroe	0	79	79	0.00%	0.00%–4.64%
Dallas	0	402	402	0.00%	0.00%–0.95%
Denver	18	339	357	5.04%	3.21%–7.83%
Detroit	2	131	133	1.50%	0.41%–5.32%
El Paso	3	233	236	1.27%	0.43%–3.67%
El Paso SPC	1	46	47	2.13%	0.38%–11.11%
Elizabeth	1	49	50	2.00%	0.35%–10.50%
Eloy	5	79	84	5.95%	2.57%–13.19%
Florence	1	115	116	0.86%	0.15%–4.72%
Fort Snelling	1	133	134	0.75%	0.13%–4.11%
Guaynabo · SAJ	No grant or denial record in FY2025
Harlingen	2	54	56	3.57%	0.98%–12.12%
Hartford	4	1	5	80.00%	37.55%–96.38%
Honolulu	0	2	2	0.00%	0.00%–65.76%
Houston - Jefferson Street Immigration Court	3	351	354	0.85%	0.29%–2.46%
Houston – Greenspoint Park	1	764	765	0.13%	0.02%–0.74%
Houston – S. Gessner Road	0	132	132	0.00%	0.00%–2.83%
Hyattsville	23	65	88	26.14%	18.09%–36.18%
Imperial	2	36	38	5.26%	1.46%–17.29%
Indianapolis, Indiana · INP	10	103	113	8.85%	4.88%–15.53%
Kansas City	0	38	38	0.00%	0.00%–9.18%
Laredo	3	144	147	2.04%	0.70%–5.83%
Las Vegas	4	92	96	4.17%	1.63%–10.23%
LaSalle	1	66	67	1.49%	0.26%–7.98%
Los Angeles - Van Nuys Boulevard	10	131	141	7.09%	3.90%–12.56%
Los Angeles – N. Los Angeles Street	16	141	157	10.19%	6.37%–15.91%
Los Fresnos · PEP	5	75	80	6.25%	2.70%–13.81%
Los Fresnos · PIS	0	9	9	0.00%	0.00%–29.91%
Memphis · MEM	7	105	112	6.25%	3.06%–12.34%
Miami · KRO	0	24	24	0.00%	<0.01%–13.80%
Miami · MIA	5	119	124	4.03%	1.73%–9.09%
Napanoch · ULS	0	1	1	0.00%	0.00%–79.35%
New Orleans · NOL	5	51	56	8.93%	3.87%–19.26%
New York - Broadway	14	119	133	10.53%	6.37%–16.89%
New York - Federal Plaza	8	42	50	16.00%	8.34%–28.51%
New York - Varick	1	33	34	2.94%	0.52%–14.92%
Newark	0	45	45	0.00%	0.00%–7.87%
Oakdale	0	48	48	0.00%	<0.01%–7.41%
Omaha	1	85	86	1.16%	0.21%–6.30%
Orlando	2	148	150	1.33%	0.37%–4.73%
Otay Mesa	1	37	38	2.63%	0.47%–13.49%
Otero	0	31	31	0.00%	0.00%–11.03%
Pearsall	0	66	66	0.00%	0.00%–5.50%
Philadelphia	2	44	46	4.35%	1.20%–14.53%
Phoenix	2	705	707	0.28%	0.08%–1.03%
Portland	5	14	19	26.32%	11.81%–48.79%
Portland	17	228	245	6.94%	4.38%–10.83%
Sacramento · SMO	27	78	105	25.71%	18.32%–34.83%
Salt Lake City	2	123	125	1.60%	0.44%–5.65%
San Antonio	3	125	128	2.34%	0.80%–6.66%
San Diego	15	186	201	7.46%	4.57%–11.95%
San Francisco · SFR	252	381	633	39.81%	36.07%–43.67%
Santa Ana	47	1,188	1,235	3.81%	2.87%–5.02%
Seattle	42	1,034	1,076	3.90%	2.90%–5.23%
Sterling · STE	26	178	204	12.75%	8.85%–18.02%
Stewart	1	64	65	1.54%	0.27%–8.21%
Tacoma	0	82	82	0.00%	0.00%–4.48%
Tucson	25	328	353	7.08%	4.84%–10.25%
West Los Angeles Immigration Court · WLA	14	162	176	7.95%	4.80%–12.91%

Court and judge groups: counting rules

Grants ÷ (grants + denials) among eligible asylum proceeding records. One proceeding event is the unit; this is not a count of unique people.

Source files and checks

This interval describes binomial sampling variability only; it does not account for administrative errors, case mix, attribution uncertainty, or selection bias.

Source: EOIR public CASE data · 2026-08
Metric version: Metric M1.1.0
Retrieved: 2026-09-14
Source SHA-256: 0a409ce1b175532df7bb2f0c58d06dd20fa6b4d904d749fde7df1b038ac498e2

Release manifest · Full methodology

Official country research sources

For Mexico, open the EOIR country research entry and the Department of State human rights report index. Select the country and report year in the official source. The EOIR entry currently points to that report index; it does not supply a verified country-by-year document set for this page.

Country reports are research materials, not a finding about an individual case. Search official AG/BIA precedent citations

Recorded asylum application results for this nationality

Mexico · EOIR source nationality category MX. These are saved application result codes grouped by the proceeding completion year, including outcomes beyond grants and denials.

One eligible proceeding record per row · 2026-08 CASE snapshot
Recorded category	FY2021	FY2022	FY2023	FY2024	FY2025
Granted	418	817	872	860	905
Denied	2,594	2,611	3,506	4,615	11,931
Recorded as abandoned	420	854	1,274	1,908	7,752
Recorded as withdrawn	2,029	3,299	3,281	2,952	3,702
Recorded as not adjudicated	2,896	13,648	13,732	14,655	8,417
Recorded as administratively closed	357	1,922	1,807	1,219	961
Other recorded categories	40	19	9	10	5
No application result recorded	169	213	513	2,633	6,946
Total records in this table	8,923	23,383	24,994	28,852	40,619

The grant share elsewhere uses only grants and denials. This table includes eight saved result categories, so its total is larger. A blank result is shown separately and is not a denial or a verified pending case. Small groups can vary sharply.

National result categories and counting rules

Lawyer-record comparison

Time period

Mexico · Across the United States

FY2025

Lawyer / representative record found

9.04%

G 840 / D 8,455 / N 9,295

No qualifying lawyer / representative record found

1.84%

G 65 / D 3,476 / N 3,541

7.2 percentage points between the two groups · FY2025

A filing was found in the data. It does not confirm help at the decision. No matching filing does not prove there was no legal help. These numbers do not show what caused the difference.

Explore the full lawyer-record comparison

Recorded BIA appeal dispositions associated with this nationality code

One recorded IJ Case Appeal event is counted, not one person. Nationality is the code stored directly on the appeal record; the linked proceeding and case nationality never replace it.

Decision FY2021–FY2025 pooled · all filing parties · source cutoff 2026-08-31

BIA patterns can change over time. These figures describe recorded dispositions during the displayed historical period, not a permanent characteristic of a person, court or nationality. Changes may coincide with law, policy, administration, BIA composition, case mix or backlog; these data alone do not establish why.

All filing parties pooled · recorded BIA appeal events
Appeal events (denominator)	DIS · recorded dismissal/affirmance	REM · remand as recorded	SUS · appeal sustained as recorded	Other · mixed recorded dispositions
20,976	9,785	3,340	83	7,768

Filing parties A, I, B and O remain distinct in the private audit. This pooled table shows counts only; it does not calculate a combined outcome percentage. REM is not an asylum grant, and these are not final asylum outcomes.

About these records

Nationality field: tblAppeal.strNat · Population: bia-decided-1 · Source cutoff: 2026-08-31.

Appeal and proceeding nationality can disagree. The appeal field is the recorded event attribute; this table does not decide which record is personally correct or establish citizenship.

Download certified nationality BIA aggregates · Companion manifest · Read disclosure certificate · Historical nationality BIA edition · Methods

Mexico — Asylum records by EOIR nationality category

Historical asylum grant share

How did the historical grant share change?

Annual historical trend

How much did the published annual shares vary?

Published court and judge cohorts

Court and judge groups: counting rules

Official country research sources

Recorded asylum application results for this nationality

Lawyer-record comparison

Lawyer / representative record found

No qualifying lawyer / representative record found

Recorded BIA appeal dispositions associated with this nationality code

About these records

Data and sources

EOIR public CASE data

🇲🇽 Mexico — Asylum records by EOIR nationality category

Historical asylum grant share

How did the historical grant share change?

Annual historical trend

How much did the published annual shares vary?

Published court and judge cohorts

Court and judge groups: counting rules

Official country research sources

Recorded asylum application results for this nationality

Lawyer-record comparison

Lawyer / representative record found

No qualifying lawyer / representative record found

Recorded BIA appeal dispositions associated with this nationality code

About these records

Next steps

Data and sources

Mexico — Asylum records by EOIR nationality category