China: asylum outcomes in immigration court

Historical asylum grant share

Time period

FY2025 · 2024-10-01–2025-09-30

52.14%

2,397Grant records

2,200Denial records

4,597Outcome records

Recorded grant share = grants ÷ (grants + denials): 2,397 ÷ (2,397 + 2,200) = 52.14%.

95% statistical interval: 50.70%–53.58%

United States overall: 23.13% · +29.02 percentage points compared with this parent cohort.

China: 52.14%N 4,597; No grant or denial record for this group in this period.
United States overall: 23.13%N 124,581; No national figure is published for this period

Across immigration courts for this nationality

9 immigration courts have 100 or more grant-or-denial records for this nationality in FY2025. Their recorded grant shares range from 11.18% to 71.66%; the median is 58.43%. The larger dot is this nationality across all courts.

See this nationality at each court

Among recorded asylum application grant-or-denial outcomes linked within the same immigration-court proceeding; abandoned, withdrawn, administratively closed and other outcomes are excluded. One case may contribute more than one proceeding.

This interval describes binomial sampling variability only; it does not account for administrative errors, case mix, attribution uncertainty, or selection bias.

Use historical results to understand past cases, not to forecast an individual outcome.

Full definition and counting rules What else is recorded besides a grant or denial?See related court, judge and nationality records

Source files and checks

Removal, deportation, exclusion and asylum-only proceedings. ASYL grant codes G/I/P; denial D. Other outcomes are excluded from this denominator. Conflicting applications and inconsistent case links are excluded.

Judge attribution uses the proceeding’s IJ_CODE assignment. It does not establish who personally authored every decision. Court attribution uses the proceeding’s recorded court, which may differ from historical hearing venue.

This interval describes binomial sampling variability only; it does not account for administrative errors, case mix, attribution uncertainty, or selection bias.

The source has known malformed lines: 357 physical lines were rejected; accepted logical rows are 262 below EOIR’s count file. Statistics describe accepted records. The official asylum report uses a different unit and will not exactly match these totals.

Source: EOIR public CASE data · 2026-08
Metric version: Metric M1.1.0
Retrieved: 2026-09-14
Source SHA-256: 0a409ce1b175532df7bb2f0c58d06dd20fa6b4d904d749fde7df1b038ac498e2

Release manifest · Full methodology

How did the historical grant share change?

Latest year: 52.14%FY2025 · 4,597 records
Highest year: 81.75%FY2022 · 4,110 records
Lowest year: 52.14%FY2025 · 4,597 records
Published years: 5FY2021–FY2025

China
United States overall

Annual historical trend

Fiscal years run from 10-01 through 09-30. Every eligible public-source group is shown; a year without a record is not withheld. Small samples can vary sharply.

These totals come from the pinned public EOIR CASE source under the same grant and denial population as the national total.

Grant share · EOIR public CASE data · 2026-08
Fiscal year (10-01–09-30)	Grant records	Denial records	N	Share	Change from prior FY (percentage points)
FY2021	914	246	1,160	78.79%	—
FY2022	3,360	750	4,110	81.75%	+2.96
FY2023	3,888	984	4,872	79.80%	−1.95
FY2024	3,258	1,238	4,496	72.46%	−7.34
FY2025	2,397	2,200	4,597	52.14%	−20.32

Methodology

How much did the published annual shares vary?

FY2021, FY2022, FY2023, FY2024, FY2025 · each year N ≥ 100

Standard deviation: 10.88 percentage points. Median absolute deviation: 2.96 percentage points. Largest change between adjacent published years: 20.32 percentage points.

These summarize the displayed annual rates; they do not measure judge quality or explain why outcomes changed. Annual variation method

EOIR public CASE data · 2026-08EOIR CASE nationality aggregates · eoir-2026-08-nationality-complete-v1Provenance

Nationality is an administrative source category, not a measure of identity or residence. Source category: CH.

Published court and judge cohorts

All court and judge combinations with eligible records are shown. Small counts describe a few proceeding records and their rates can change sharply.

Fiscal year or period for these groups

Court

Group

Judge

This period also updates the summary above. The table caption shows the selected period.

China · FY2025
Group	Grants	Denials	N	Recorded grant share	95% interval
Adelanto · ADL	1	8	9	11.11%	1.99%–43.50%
Annandale	22	23	45	48.89%	34.96%–63.00%
Annandale	2	2	4	50.00%	15.00%–85.00%
Atlanta - W. Peachtree Street	0	2	2	0.00%	0.00%–65.76%
Atlanta – Ted Turner Drive	No grant or denial record in FY2025
Aurora	4	5	9	44.44%	18.88%–73.33%
Baltimore	1	3	4	25.00%	4.56%–69.94%
Boston · BOS	12	2	14	85.71%	60.06%–95.99%
Buffalo	3	3	6	50.00%	18.76%–81.24%
Charlotte	2	3	5	40.00%	11.76%–76.93%
Chelmsford	3	9	12	25.00%	8.89%–53.23%
Chelmsford	1	0	1	100.00%	20.65%–100.00%
Chicago	30	33	63	47.62%	35.78%–59.73%
Cleveland	0	7	7	0.00%	<0.01%–35.43%
Concord	13	9	22	59.09%	38.73%–76.74%
Conroe	3	16	19	15.79%	5.52%–37.57%
Dallas	2	5	7	28.57%	8.22%–64.11%
Denver	2	2	4	50.00%	15.00%–85.00%
Detroit	3	3	6	50.00%	18.76%–81.24%
El Paso	0	1	1	0.00%	0.00%–79.35%
El Paso SPC	2	5	7	28.57%	8.22%–64.11%
Elizabeth	1	15	16	6.25%	1.11%–28.33%
Eloy	4	15	19	21.05%	8.51%–43.33%
Florence	2	3	5	40.00%	11.76%–76.93%
Fort Snelling	1	2	3	33.33%	6.15%–79.23%
Guaynabo · SAJ	No grant or denial record in FY2025
Hagatna · AGA	2	4	6	33.33%	9.68%–70.00%
Harlingen	No grant or denial record in FY2025
Hartford	0	2	2	0.00%	0.00%–65.76%
Honolulu	85	46	131	64.89%	56.39%–72.53%
Houston - Jefferson Street Immigration Court	2	17	19	10.53%	2.94%–31.39%
Houston – Greenspoint Park	2	15	17	11.76%	3.29%–34.34%
Houston – S. Gessner Road	0	7	7	0.00%	<0.01%–35.43%
Hyattsville	7	9	16	43.75%	23.10%–66.82%
Imperial	2	4	6	33.33%	9.68%–70.00%
Indianapolis, Indiana · INP	4	10	14	28.57%	11.72%–54.65%
Kansas City	0	1	1	0.00%	0.00%–79.35%
Laredo	3	44	47	6.38%	2.19%–17.16%
Las Vegas	4	2	6	66.67%	30.00%–90.32%
LaSalle	19	151	170	11.18%	7.27%–16.80%
Los Angeles - Van Nuys Boulevard	4	9	13	30.77%	12.68%–57.63%
Los Angeles – N. Los Angeles Street	270	417	687	39.30%	35.72%–43.00%
Los Fresnos · PEP	4	9	13	30.77%	12.68%–57.63%
Los Fresnos · PIS	No grant or denial record in FY2025
Memphis · MEM	7	5	12	58.33%	31.95%–80.67%
Miami · KRO	0	6	6	0.00%	<0.01%–39.03%
Miami · MIA	1	3	4	25.00%	4.56%–69.94%
Napanoch · ULS	0	2	2	0.00%	0.00%–65.76%
New Orleans · NOL	8	6	14	57.14%	32.59%–78.62%
New York - Broadway	112	76	188	59.57%	52.44%–66.33%
New York - Federal Plaza	1,181	467	1,648	71.66%	69.44%–73.79%
New York - Varick	170	75	245	69.39%	63.35%–74.82%
Newark	2	1	3	66.67%	20.77%–93.85%
Oakdale	1	62	63	1.59%	0.28%–8.46%
Omaha	1	4	5	20.00%	3.62%–62.45%
Orlando	2	11	13	15.38%	4.33%–42.23%
Otay Mesa	8	18	26	30.77%	16.50%–49.99%
Otero	0	9	9	0.00%	0.00%–29.91%
Pearsall	1	9	10	10.00%	1.79%–40.42%
Philadelphia	8	8	16	50.00%	28.00%–72.00%
Phoenix	1	8	9	11.11%	1.99%–43.50%
Portland	0	1	1	0.00%	0.00%–79.35%
Portland	3	10	13	23.08%	8.18%–50.26%
Sacramento · SMO	2	4	6	33.33%	9.68%–70.00%
Saipan · SAI	No grant or denial record in FY2025
Salt Lake City	0	2	2	0.00%	0.00%–65.76%
San Antonio	2	5	7	28.57%	8.22%–64.11%
San Diego	1	12	13	7.69%	1.37%–33.31%
San Francisco · SFR	100	72	172	58.14%	50.67%–65.26%
Santa Ana	142	293	435	32.64%	28.41%–37.19%
Seattle	7	3	10	70.00%	39.68%–89.22%
Sterling · STE	6	7	13	46.15%	23.21%–70.86%
Stewart	1	14	15	6.67%	1.19%–29.82%
Tacoma	4	9	13	30.77%	12.68%–57.63%
Tucson	0	1	1	0.00%	0.00%–79.35%
West Los Angeles Immigration Court · WLA	104	74	178	58.43%	51.08%–65.41%

Court and judge groups: counting rules

Grants ÷ (grants + denials) among eligible asylum proceeding records. One proceeding event is the unit; this is not a count of unique people.

Source files and checks

This interval describes binomial sampling variability only; it does not account for administrative errors, case mix, attribution uncertainty, or selection bias.

Source: EOIR public CASE data · 2026-08
Metric version: Metric M1.1.0
Retrieved: 2026-09-14
Source SHA-256: 0a409ce1b175532df7bb2f0c58d06dd20fa6b4d904d749fde7df1b038ac498e2

Release manifest · Full methodology

Official country research sources

For China, open the EOIR country research entry and the Department of State human rights report index. Select the country and report year in the official source. The EOIR entry currently points to that report index; it does not supply a verified country-by-year document set for this page.

Country reports are research materials, not a finding about an individual case. Search official AG/BIA precedent citations

Recorded asylum application results for this nationality

China · EOIR source nationality category CH. These are saved application result codes grouped by the proceeding completion year, including outcomes beyond grants and denials.

One eligible proceeding record per row · 2026-08 CASE snapshot
Recorded category	FY2021	FY2022	FY2023	FY2024	FY2025
Granted	914	3,360	3,888	3,258	2,397
Denied	246	750	984	1,238	2,200
Recorded as abandoned	100	455	554	497	912
Recorded as withdrawn	178	284	254	190	540
Recorded as not adjudicated	704	1,969	1,999	2,158	1,383
Recorded as administratively closed	36	205	204	110	93
Other recorded categories	6	4	1	6	5
No application result recorded	146	162	635	3,037	4,442
Total records in this table	2,330	7,189	8,519	10,494	11,972

The grant share elsewhere uses only grants and denials. This table includes eight saved result categories, so its total is larger. A blank result is shown separately and is not a denial or a verified pending case. Small groups can vary sharply.

National result categories and counting rules

Lawyer-record comparison

Time period

China · Across the United States

FY2025

Lawyer / representative record found

55.07%

G 2,341 / D 1,910 / N 4,251

No qualifying lawyer / representative record found

16.18%

G 56 / D 290 / N 346

38.9 percentage points between the two groups · FY2025

A filing was found in the data. It does not confirm help at the decision. No matching filing does not prove there was no legal help. These numbers do not show what caused the difference.

Explore the full lawyer-record comparison

Recorded BIA appeal dispositions associated with this nationality code

One recorded IJ Case Appeal event is counted, not one person. Nationality is the code stored directly on the appeal record; the linked proceeding and case nationality never replace it.

Decision FY2021–FY2025 pooled · all filing parties · source cutoff 2026-08-31

BIA patterns can change over time. These figures describe recorded dispositions during the displayed historical period, not a permanent characteristic of a person, court or nationality. Changes may coincide with law, policy, administration, BIA composition, case mix or backlog; these data alone do not establish why.

All filing parties pooled · recorded BIA appeal events
Appeal events (denominator)	DIS · recorded dismissal/affirmance	REM · remand as recorded	SUS · appeal sustained as recorded	Other · mixed recorded dispositions
1,674	941	359	4	370

Filing parties A, I, B and O remain distinct in the private audit. This pooled table shows counts only; it does not calculate a combined outcome percentage. REM is not an asylum grant, and these are not final asylum outcomes.

About these records

Nationality field: tblAppeal.strNat · Population: bia-decided-1 · Source cutoff: 2026-08-31.

Appeal and proceeding nationality can disagree. The appeal field is the recorded event attribute; this table does not decide which record is personally correct or establish citizenship.

Download certified nationality BIA aggregates · Companion manifest · Read disclosure certificate · Historical nationality BIA edition · Methods

China — Asylum records by EOIR nationality category

Historical asylum grant share

How did the historical grant share change?

Annual historical trend

How much did the published annual shares vary?

Published court and judge cohorts

Court and judge groups: counting rules

Official country research sources

Recorded asylum application results for this nationality

Lawyer-record comparison

Lawyer / representative record found

No qualifying lawyer / representative record found

Recorded BIA appeal dispositions associated with this nationality code

About these records

Data and sources

EOIR public CASE data

🇨🇳 China — Asylum records by EOIR nationality category

Historical asylum grant share

How did the historical grant share change?

Annual historical trend

How much did the published annual shares vary?

Published court and judge cohorts

Court and judge groups: counting rules

Official country research sources

Recorded asylum application results for this nationality

Lawyer-record comparison

Lawyer / representative record found

No qualifying lawyer / representative record found

Recorded BIA appeal dispositions associated with this nationality code

About these records

Next steps

Data and sources

China — Asylum records by EOIR nationality category